The final poll ahead of the 2016 elections conducted by the eNCA and Ipsos, shows the Democratic Alliance South Africa winning some of the hottest metros in South Africa.
The surveyed group where 74% black adults, aged between 18 – 50 from both poor to middle income households, showed this results.
In the first poll in the beginning of June 2016, the results showed that the DA will only win 2 of the 3 hottest metros (Nelson Mandela Bay and Tshwane) with Johannesburg still under the control of the ANC.
But in the final week of June 2016, with many scandals, protests and heavy campaigning, a very different picture is being painted.
The biggest change that was noted in every metro, was the fact that the “undecided” votes had dropped, but still high enough to be in the double digits (11% – 12%). Though the ‘undecided’ number is quite high, many believe it will swing during election day to either the DA or the ANC.
Yet funny enough, the Democratic Alliance South Africa party has maintained a leading position over the ANC in Johannesburg for the last 8 weeks. In Tshwane and Nelson Mandela Bay the lead is as big as 14% over the ANC in both of the metros, respectively.
After weeks of decline all across these three metros, the ANC has ended this period with an Upward tick. Although the Democratic Alliance’s support has grown in Nelson Mandela Bay and Tshwane, it shows a slight drop in Johannesburg which makes the race a very tight race in the country’s economic hub.
On the other hand, the EFF which will be contesting its first municipal elections, has shown a merge in the polls. This ends with their biggest support base in Tshwane.
The stats in Tshwane looks as follows:
The stats in Johannesburg looks as follows:
The stats in Nelson Mandela Bay looks as follows: